DURABLE_GOODS
Durable Goods Orders
Census Bureau data on new orders for long-lasting manufactured goods — the monthly pulse of business investment.
| Published by | US Census Bureau |
|---|---|
| Frequency | Monthly, around the fourth week |
| Release time | 8:30 AM ET |
What it measures
Durable goods orders track new orders placed with US manufacturers for goods meant to last three years or more. Core capital goods orders (nondefense, ex aircraft) proxy business capex plans.
Why traders watch it
- Capex is the cycle’s swing factor — this is its earliest monthly proxy.
- Headline swings wildly with aircraft mega-orders; the core capex line is what actually informs.
How to read it
- Core capital goods orders and shipments are the signal; shipments feed GDP equipment investment.
- A single Boeing month can add double digits to the headline — always check ex-transportation.
FAQ
Why did the headline jump double digits?
Almost always aircraft: a bulk airline order lands entirely in one month. Ex-transportation and core capital goods reveal the underlying trend.
What are "core capital goods"?
Nondefense capital goods excluding aircraft — machinery, equipment and the like. It is the accepted proxy for business investment intentions.
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The official source of each release is authoritative. Not investment advice.